lma0!
I'm expecting roughly June sales with a suitable pre-order period, yes - based mostly on the fact that TSMC's supply of 65 nm process chips can't last forever and they're getting overbooked from demand for newer mobile chips. (By the first week of January, they had already announced that Tegra-2 demand alone was 60% above expectations for _this_ quarter.) HTC alone has told suppliers to expect them to sell triple this year over last.
How it's in Sprint's interests to lead their line with a older phone in face of market expectations for more or HTC to milk supply for an older assembly any longer than they'd have to - that's the basis of my expectations.
If I'm wrong about chip production and inventory, and wrong about HTC's assembly processes, then I'm wrong in my expectations.
I completely agree.
The FCC submission we'd expected _might_ be driven by some perceived need to keep this week's announcements under wraps.
And I put nothing past Sprint - I would think that all they'd want is a flagship. While I think a shift away from HTC and the Evo would be completely nuts, I wouldn't discount the idea that they'd go with Samsung or LG for their next flagship - LG is being especially aggressive right now.
Add to that last year's Clear / Sprint relationship confusions, the rumblings for a Verizon / Sprint merger and this year's LTE push, and anything can happen.
For all I know, Sprint's idea of their next flagship is an unholy Nokia/WP7 offering for later this year (shudder!).