With 100% certainty?
I bet the Nobel committee must be pounding down your door with a ten million krona prize in tow!
For discussions sake, lets just say that you are correct regarding mankinds ability to accurately predict major events like tornado's. Assuming for a minute that this is true I'm guessing that someone at NOAA got fired yesterday for not providing a timely prediction of the tornados that tore through Alabama and killed more than 300 people. While it would have been impossible to evacuate thousands of people in advance of that F5 tornado, police and the national guard could have quite easily moved them to shelters.
Monster Alabama Tornado Spawned by Rare "Perfect Storm"
Even if we overlook the tornado in Alabama as a fluke, what went wrong with the USGS early warning system not predicting the earthquake in Japan? Thousands of poor souls were taken by the earthquake and the tsunami. Had they been warned more than a couple of minutes in advance they could have fled their coastal villages and attempted to move to higher ground. But because of that lack of warning they found themselves in the path of untold billions of gallons of salt water and debris.
Japan Earthquake Not the "Big One?"
Fact is that our success rate with predicting these sorts of natural events is rather low. Why? Because nature doesn't react in quite the same manner as it does in the controlled environment of a lab. You do, I hope, see the difference...
The defining difference between this and the so called paranormal is that we have scientists, engineers, and researchers spending billions of dollars of federal funds every year to research these forces of nature. How much money does the government spend to research claims of the paranormal? *sound of crickets*
We'll never know whether or not they exist till governments start funding real scientific research on the phenomena. Right now the only researchers in the paranormal field are what might be described as regular people with digital voice recorders, FLIR cameras, camcorders, and jury-rigged am/fm radios spending their nights wandering through dark rooms looking for things that go bump in the night. Don't believe me... turn on the SCIFI channel, the Travel channel or, believe it or not, the Animal channel to watch these folks try to find what science largely ignores...